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How Tariffs & Inflation Reinforce the Value of LIFO

Recent tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have reintroduced import taxes on a wide range of goods. While the goal is aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, the tariffs come with side effects that ripple through the economy, including increased prices that affect manufacturers, distributors, and retailers.

For businesses that rely on global supply chains, tariffs can lead to a spike in input costs. This environment makes it essential for companies to reevaluate their accounting strategies to manage financial exposure and mitigate the negative impacts of tariffs and inflation.

In times of rising prices, driven by inflation, tariffs, or both, the Last-In, First-Out (LIFO) inventory method offers a strategic tax advantage. LIFO assumes that the most recent (and typically more expensive) inventory is sold first. This results in a higher cost of goods sold (COGS) on paper, which in turn reduces taxable income.

By reporting higher costs, companies using LIFO pay less in income taxes during inflationary periods. This creates valuable cash flow, especially for inventory-heavy businesses like wholesalers, retailers, and manufacturers.

Key Takeaways for CPAs and Business Owners

For CPAs:

  • Reassess clients’ inventory methods—LIFO may offer significant benefits in today’s inflationary, tariff-impacted environment.
  • Ensure LIFO conformity requirements are met for financial and tax reporting.
  • Consider LIFO’s long-term implications, such as potential distortions in financial statements or future tax liabilities, specifically large reductions in inventory or deflation.

For Business Owners and Taxpayers:

  • Understand that rising import costs due to tariffs may offer a tax-saving opportunity through strategic accounting.
  • Weigh the pros and cons of switching to LIFO, including short-term tax savings versus long-term impacts on earnings and financial presentation.
  • Discuss with tax professionals whether your business qualifies for LIFO and how it could be implemented effectively.

What’s Next?

How inflation and tariffs play out for 2025 remains to be seen, but as the year progresses it’s important to keep an eye on the situation and be prepared with some tax-planning strategies.

Case Study: Manufacturing Company Under Tariff Pressure

Business: Mid-sized U.S. manufacturer of steel parts
Situation: Steel tariffs increase material costs by 25% year-over-year

With a LIFO Adoption:

  • COGS increase by $1.2 million.
  • Taxable income drops accordingly, saving over $250,000 in taxes in the first year.

Case Study: Retail Chain Facing Inflation on Imported Goods

Business: Regional consumer electronics retailer
Situation: Import tariffs and supply chain disruptions raised the cost of goods from Asia by 18%

With a LIFO Adoption:

  • COGS increase by $800,000.
  • Resulting tax savings totals around $168,000

Case Study: Auto Parts Distributor Reacting to Inflation

Business: Wholesale distributor of aftermarket car parts
Situation: Inflation and raw material shortages increase input costs by 20%

With a LIFO Adoption:

  • Record a 15% increase in COGS, reducing reported income by $950,000.
  • The result is a tax reduction of nearly $200,000.

Case Study: Consumer Goods Importer Navigating Tariff Impact

Business: Importer of home goods and kitchenware
Situation: Tariffs on Chinese goods raise input costs by 30% in one year

Tax Strategy Shift:

Adopt LIFO to immediately reflect rising landed costs.

  • The increased COGS creates a $2 million decrease in taxable income.
  • Effective tax savings: over $420,000.

The tax-savings from LIFO can help businesses that could otherwise see significant cash flow challenges that require them to divert capital away from critical investments like hiring, wages, and expansion.

How Inflation Equals LIFO Opportunities for 2024 Tax Year

With overall inflation around 3% for 2024 and prices on the rise for 2025, now is a good time to consider a Last-In-First-Out (LIFO) election if you carry inventory. Even if you are already on LIFO, analyzing the IPIC LIFO method for 2024 could be a great opportunity. IPIC LIFO uses indexes published by the Bureau of Labor Statics to measure inflation on your inventory, which means businesses of all sizes could experience tax savings using LIFO.

Whether you are a manufacturer, distributor, or retailer, you can mitigate the negative impact of price increases and annually save money by using the LIFO inventory method. Adopting LIFO removes the phantom profits caused by inflation, lowering your tax liability and creating cash for reinvestment in your business. Any business with over $3m in inventory that is experiencing inflation is a qualified candidate for electing LIFO. Depending on the inflation rate and the inventory level, the cash savings can be quite substantial.

Tax Benefit Projections

LIFO Opportunities Chart

*Estimated After-Tax Cash Savings assumes a total Tax Rate of 35%. Estimated Inventory level is as of year beginning.

Who is Taking Advantage of LIFO for the First Time This Year?

Even modest inflation of 3.5% for 2024 for an aerospace and aviation parts manufacturing company with $25m in inventory resulted in $295,000 in cash savings for the taxpayer.

A wholesaler of electronic equipment and wiring with a $45m inventory and almost 6% inflation is deferring $1 million in tax. This increased cash flow is crucial to them as they reinvest in their business, particularly as their prices are continuing to rise.

A small coffee manufacturer, taking advantage of 15% inflation in 2024 reduced their tax bill by over $150,000.

An analysis of LIFO benefits is seamless and is provided at no cost to you. Just send a copy of the year beginning and year ending inventory files, including unit costs, and we’ll provide a free estimate of benefit and a fixed fee quote for the project.

What is the LIFO Conformity Rule?

The LIFO Conformity Rule is a tax regulation in the United States that mandates businesses to use the LIFO method consistently for both tax reporting and financial statement reporting. In other words, if a company chooses LIFO for tax purposes to reduce taxable income, it must also use LIFO when preparing financial statements for shareholders and investors.

Legal Basis of the LIFO Conformity Rule

The rule is enforced under Section 472(c) of the Internal Revenue Code (IRC), which states that if a taxpayer uses LIFO for income tax purposes, they must also use LIFO for financial reporting purposes to external stakeholders.

Why Was This Rule Introduced?

The LIFO Conformity Rule was introduced to prevent businesses from manipulating inventory valuation to gain tax advantages while presenting higher profits in their financial statements. Without this rule, companies could theoretically use LIFO for tax deductions while still reporting higher income under FIFO in financial statements, misleading investors.

Implications of the LIFO Conformity Rule

Financial Reporting Consistency

  • Companies using LIFO must report lower net income in financial statements, especially in periods of inflation.
  • Investors and stakeholders see a realistic picture of profitability, aligning with tax-reported earnings.

Tax Savings and Reduced Taxable Income

  • LIFO generally results in higher COGS and lower taxable income, reducing corporate tax liability.
  • The conformity rule ensures that tax benefits come at the cost of lower reported earnings, deterring aggressive tax-saving strategies.

Impact on Stock Prices and Investor Perception

  • Since LIFO reduces net income in financial statements, it may impact earnings per share (EPS) and stock prices.
  • Investors relying on financial statements for decision-making need to account for LIFO’s impact on reported profits.

Compliance and Regulatory Requirements

  • Companies must comply with IRS regulations and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP).
  • Auditors and financial analysts must ensure LIFO is applied consistently across all financial reports.

Conclusion

The LIFO Conformity Rule plays a crucial role in maintaining consistency, transparency, and fairness in financial reporting and tax compliance. While LIFO offers tax-saving advantages, businesses must be prepared for its impact on financial statements, investor perceptions, and compliance requirements.

Companies considering LIFO must weigh the tax benefits against the potential downsides of lower reported earnings and complex record-keeping requirements. Additionally, they should stay informed about regulatory changes that may affect LIFO’s long-term viability.

By understanding and adhering to the LIFO Conformity Rule, businesses can ensure compliance, make informed financial decisions, and maintain transparency with investors and tax authorities.

Last In, First Out (LIFO) Inventory Method: Pros and Cons

Inventory valuation is an accounting process used by companies to assign value to their inventory. It determines the cost of unsold goods at the close of an accounting period and plays a critical role in calculating the cost of goods sold (COGS) and the gross profit for the period.

The main reason for this process is to assign a monetary value for a company’s inventory items at the close of a reporting period. There are several methods used for inventory valuation. Each method affects the financial statements differently, especially under varying market conditions.

Advantages of LIFO

The LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) accounting method assumes that the inventory items most recently purchased are the first ones sold or used, which means that the COGS is calculated using the most recent inventory costs, leaving older inventory costs in the ending inventory balance.

Tax Savings & Cash Flow Improvement

    • LIFO can lead to higher cost of goods sold (COGS) during inflation.
    • LIFO can result in lower taxable income in times of inflation because it matches higher current prices with current sales, thereby reducing reported profits and tax liabilities.
    • Cash flow can be improved by deferring taxes since LIFO reports lower profits in times of rising prices.

Disadvantages of LIFO

Although there are several benefits to using the LIFO accounting method, there are also disadvantages that are important to note.

  • LIFO may not reflect the actual cost of remaining inventory, especially during periods of inflation.
  • LIFO calculations can be more complex compared to FIFO (First-In-First-Out). Because of the complexities of this method, there will potentially be a need for additional record-keeping.
  • LIFO is not allowed under some international accounting standards (IFRS).
boxes in warehouse for lifo

Because of the pros and cons of this accounting method, it is critical for businesses to select a provider that understands the complexities of LIFO and that has a deep understanding of their financial goals. With Source Advisors as a trusted partner, businesses can tap into the nuances of this method and determine whether it fits into their overall business strategy.

LIFO vs. FIFO: Choosing the Right Inventory Identification Method

Inventory identification is a crucial aspect of managing a company’s finances. It impacts your cost of goods sold (COGS), profitability, and ultimately, your tax burden. Two prominent inventory identification methods are LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) and FIFO (First-In, First-Out). Each method comes with its own set of advantages and disadvantages, and understanding these differences is essential for making informed decisions for your business.

LIFO vs FIFO: When to Use Which

Both LIFO and FIFO offer tax advantages and disadvantages. LIFO can help businesses reduce their tax liability in times of rising costs, as it allows them to match higher costs with current revenues. FIFO, on the other hand, provides a more accurate representation of the actual cost of goods sold but may result in higher taxes during inflation.

Deciding the optimal method depends on your unique business. Here are some things to consider:

  1. Industry Spice: Is your industry prone to fluctuating costs, like oil & gas? LIFO might be your flavor. Stable industries like retail often prefer FIFO’s simplicity.
  2. Price Trends: Are prices rising, falling, or steady? LIFO shines in inflationary times, while FIFO is better for deflationary periods.
  3. Financial Reporting Transparency: FIFO often provides a clearer picture in your financial statements in terms of comparability, essential for investors and stakeholders.

How LIFO and FIFO can impact business profitability and financial stability:

In the end, businesses should carefully evaluate their specific circumstances, consult with accounting professionals, and consider the long-term implications before deciding whether to use LIFO or FIFO. By making an informed choice, companies can effectively manage their inventory, optimize profitability, and maintain financial stability.

Can LIFO Still Provide Tax Savings in 2023?

While inflation is not at the high levels seen in the last couple of years, if you haven’t elected LIFO previously, now is the time to look at Last-In-First-Out (LIFO) accounting. If you have inventories of machinery and equipment, glass products or any concrete or cement inventory, there could be tax savings available for 2023. Whether you are already on LIFO or not, analyzing the IPIC LIFO method could be a great opportunity. IPIC LIFO uses indexes published by the Bureau of Labor Statics to measure inflation on your inventory. In 2023 these indexes show inflation is still on the rise in many industries, which means businesses of all sizes could experience tax savings using LIFO.

Whether you are a manufacturer, distributor, or retailer, you have the opportunity to mitigate the negative impact of price increases and annually save money by using the LIFO inventory method. Adopting LIFO removes the phantom profits caused by inflation, lowering your tax liability and creating cash for reinvestment in your business. Any business with over $2M in inventory that is experiencing inflation is a qualified candidate for electing LIFO. Depending on the inflation rate and the inventory level, the cash savings can be quite substantial.

Tax Benefit Projections

chart of LIFO tax savings

Tax Benefit Projections

Estimated Inflation

2.00%

5.00%

7.00%

10.00%

15.00%

Estimated After-Tax Cash Savings*

$2M inventory

$14,000

$35,000

$49,000

$70,000

$105,000

$5M inventory

$35,000

$87,500

$122,500

$175,000

$262,500

$10M inventory

$70,000

$175,000

$245,000

$350,000

$525,000

$20M inventory

$140,000

$350,000

$490,000

$700,000

$1,050,000

*Estimated After-Tax Cash Savings assumes a total Tax Rate of 35%. Estimated Inventory level is as of year beginning.

Case Studies

  • A wine distributor with $30m in inventory is planning to elect LIFO in 2023 as there is currently about 7% inflation in their inventory. Assuming inflation holds steady through the end of the year, they will calculate LIFO reserve of almost $2m, providing tax savings of over $650,000. Knowing this projected savings now helps them as they begin tax planning for 2023.

  • Inflation for sporting goods is currently about 10%. A family-owned store with $2m in prior year inventory that elects LIFO in 2023 can expect a first year LIFO reserve of over $200,000, translating to more than $70,000 in tax savings.

  • Taxpayers across the different industries and with inventory can save tax dollars with LIFO.

Taxpayer Type

Estimated 2023 Inflation

Prior Year Inventory Value

Year 1 LIFO Reserve

After-tax Cash Savings*

Industrial Products Manufacturer

4%

$3,000,000

$117,000

$40,950

Machinery and Equipment Retailer

6%

$12,000,000

$660,000

$244,200

Sporting Goods Store

11%

$4,000,000

$440,000

$162,800

Aircraft Engine Manufacturer

5%

$14,000,000

$700,000

$259,000

Lawn & Garden Store

4%

$6,000,000

$240,000

$88,800

Glass Bottles Distributor

10%

$5,000,000

$480,000

$177,600

Packaged Concrete Manufacturer

12%

$10,000,000

$1,200,000

$444,000

*After tax-cash savings is measured using 35% tax rate.*

An analysis of LIFO benefits is seamless and is provided at no cost to you. Just send a copy of the year beginning and year ending inventory files, including unit costs, and we’ll provide a free estimate of benefit and a price quote for the project.
chart of LIFO inventory values

*After tax-cash savings is measured using 35% tax rate.*

An analysis of LIFO benefits is seamless and is provided at no cost to you. Just send a copy of the year beginning and year ending inventory files, including unit costs, and we’ll provide a free estimate of benefit and a price quote for the project.

How Inflation Drives LIFO

Understanding LIFO as an effective mitigation strategy for inflation is an economic challenge that significantly impacts a wide range of businesses, from manufacturers and distributors to retailers. Amidst the challenge of rising costs for raw materials and finished goods, the Last-In-First-Out (LIFO) inventory method emerges as a potent strategy to navigate this tricky economic landscape.

How LIFO Contributes to Tax Savings

At its core, LIFO operates by matching the costs of goods sold with the most recent, and typically higher, costs, while the oldest costs remain tied to unsold inventory. This process results in a higher cost of goods sold, which in turn translates into lower taxable income, thereby reducing tax liability. This mechanism helps businesses effectively combat the adverse effects of inflation.

The Criteria for Adopting LIFO

Adoption of the LIFO method isn’t universal. It’s particularly beneficial for businesses experiencing inflation and maintaining an inventory valued at over $2M. The potential for significant tax savings, achieved annually, transforms LIFO into a sustainable method to manage the potential repercussions of inflation.

The Power of Reinvestment with LIFO

The use of the LIFO method not only provides tax relief but also frees up valuable cash flow for businesses. By lowering tax liabilities, these extra funds can be funneled back into the business, leading to reinvestment opportunities. These might include investing in technological upgrades, expanding the workforce, or scaling operations, thereby further enhancing business growth.

Adopting LIFO

The decision to adopt LIFO requires careful and strategic consideration of the client’s inventory flow and overall financial position. It’s not a one-size-fits-all solution. However, if a client qualifies, LIFO can emerge as a powerful tool to help combat the negative effects of inflation, strengthening their financial resilience.

LIFO represents an effective strategy that can help businesses counteract the impact of inflation, lower tax liabilities, and create opportunities for reinvestment. At Source Advisors, we stand ready to provide expert guidance on navigating this complex yet highly beneficial financial planning tool.

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